Tuesday, August 6, 2013

Money Pill Ratings 💊💊💊💊

Apple INC. 💊💊💊💊 Buy @465
Samsung 💊💊💊 Buy @1100





Disclaimer: Like a summary page on my views on stocks and my recommendation. The rating and recommendations I provide is based on my personal opinion and any trades you intend to make or have made are solely at your own descretion. I'll not be liable for any losses as a result of you reading my blog. Trade at your own risk.



Samsung @1100 Buy

Stock Code: SSNLF

Balance sheet of Samsung is what many business owner would dream about. Everything in its accounts from EPS to Cash tells us a story that signals a buy now. Though the patent battles in defeat, Samsung has never been weaken in any sense. Market reaction to news are but for momentum traders, value wise, SSNLF shines.

ROE of 20.8% may just make the mark for most, though you may not very much be impressed with this figures, the current debt standings of this massive giant will definitely draw your attention. As I looked at the numbers, I cannot help but imagine Samsung as a debt free company.

My growth estimates for SSNLF stands at 56%. With similar growth rates as Apple INC, my take is that there is still a massive market waiting for us. The world is for their taking.

Any form of intrinsic value will show you that SSNLF is currently undervalued. I price this at 3377.

Though our TA charts says Yes, simple moving average says maybe later. Its your call.

My recommendation Straight Call @1100.
DEERE & COMPANY SELL @81.20

Stock Code DE

Once a darling of the stock market. Looking into the key performance ratios, DE stands very strong on its EPS for the last 5 years. Steady growth for such a massive company with increasing sales and net income. The major drawback will be the operating cash flow in 2010.

DE decision to replace and buy massively on machineries, its venture into new markets may prove a risk if its ventures are not successful. The decline in 2010's cash flow may be related to its acquisition of shares.

An impressive 44% return on equity may be a major advantage but may not be convincing enough for stock pickers. With DE heavy on debt, managing cash flow may be an issue. This massive debt figures will continue to look at you in the eye for the coming years ahead while you wonder if the sales figures will ever recover fast enough to catch up with the declining cash flow.

Even at an undervalued price of 83 by Graham's IV, my estimate on this is on the contrary.

My estimates of 45 will signal an immediate sell.

My strategy for this will be a butterfly spread.

APPLE INC. @465 Buy

APPLE INC.

Why you should seriously consider this now and not later. The last 5 years of strong growth posting consistent growth in revenue, income and cash flow, show an impressive growth standing for apple. With rumors of new revolutionary iProducts launching early 2014, the price of $465 may never again be seen for the coming years.

The amount of debt apple is Holding is simply amazing, though it may mean that they are under leveraged in many sense, I would say this equates to stronger alignment and focus on low capital expenditure and more fundings towards R&D and marketing.

My estimates for growth stands at 57.19%.  With pricing at a low of 465, I estimate the intrinsic value to stand at 1700.

Recent news of apple winning the patent war against Samsung can appear obvious to many. This translates to a drop in shares for Samsung from 1200 to 1100. Apple's impenetrable moat is further fortified with news of increased tablet orders.

Cook's direction towards an increase in in-app purchases in the coming year may seem to me as. 50/50 growth catalyst, my bet is still on the marketing and product designing team that brought apple to where it is today. Hopefully the new iWrist may just do the trick.

My recommendations will be for a Bull Call Spread at buy Call 460 ITM, sell Call 525 OTM. With net debit of 19.80, the RR stands around 2. With APR 14 expiration, this give me enough time to see how the new iProducts performs.